Ketahanan Rantai Pasok Pangan dalam Menghadapi Perubahan Iklim dengan Menggunakan Sistem Dinamik
Keywords:
Resilience, Supply Chain, Climate Change, Dynamic SystemAbstract
The uncertainty of climate change poses a serious threat to the resilience of the global food supply chain, especially in the production and stability of rice prices. Extreme weather phenomena such as El Nino and La Nina not only affect production, but also threaten the availability and access of food for the community. This study aims to identify factors that affect the resilience of the food supply chain and develop a model using a dynamic system approach. This approach was chosen because of its ability to analyze the complexity of the food supply chain system through causal relationships and interactions between its components temporally. The developed model shows that the resilience of the rice supply chain is determined by the complex interactions of various variables and sub-variables. The availability of rice, as the main indicator, is directly influenced by two factors: rice production and population. Rice production itself depends on rice productivity and the area of ??available harvest land. Threats to rice availability mainly come from the risk of crop failure caused by various factors such as water shortages, pest attacks, and plant diseases. These factors are very crucial because they can significantly reduce rice production and threaten overall food security.
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